Ivan NagornyakPublic policy · European integration

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17 September 2026

State of the Union 2026: Ukraine needs a seat at the table where the market is decided

In Ursula von der Leyen's State of the Union address, the most concrete commitments to Ukraine came in the security section, while enlargement received one sentence. Ukraine may end up integrating through defence faster than through the market. The roadmaps for candidates have not yet been written, so now is the time to push for steps from the EU side, above all on market access.

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2 September 2026

Iceland's "no": three lessons for Ukraine and the next EU enlargement

On 29 August, 52.8% of Icelanders said "no" to returning to negotiations on EU membership. I draw three conclusions: the EEA/EFTA model works, the next enlargement has lost a convenient political construction, and the EU's appeal for wealthy states has limits. Ukraine and the other candidates have to think even harder about how to sell enlargement inside the EU itself.

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